[seren]

I enjoyed the clear and fact based presentation, with different scenarios.

I am bit shocked to learn that that the R0 of the Spanish flu was only around 2 though.

Regarding the number of case outside of China, raising exponentially, at least half of them, 454 as of today are onboard of the Diamond Princess. I am not sure if this is good or bad but surely a cruise ship is a bit peculiar situation, and maybe you cannot extrapolate too much based on that .

On the other hand, it also means that if a "dense" community is hit where people are living closely, it can have a bad outcome as well.