[jessaustin]

Do you think it will take that long? Surely China will expect its investments to start paying back before 2040?

This still seems like a strange, "pre-crime" sort of standard to which to hold China. You're almost counting USA misdeeds against China: "since USA did all these horrible things, you can be sure China will do even worse, someday!"

[lenkite]

He is right - China is now growing as a super-power and only just beginning to flex their muscle in international affairs. For a proper judgement, you will need to wait a few decades to take a decision on whether they will apply the same principles they use in domestic affairs to international affairs.

Knowing that they treat their third-world neighbours in contempt and tend to regularly infringe on territorial sovereignty, I suspect that answer will be yes. Your media does not tend to cover such affairs.

[frequentnapper]

Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. China has total control over its citizens/illegally occupied territories and look how its abused its power. It doesn't take a genius to figure out what would happen if China had global dominance that US currently enjoys - just someone disengenuous to pretend to ignore it.

[sam_lowry_]

What illegally occupied territories, exactly?

[totalZero]

I'm guessing the reference is to Taiwan, mainly, but there is no shortage of disputed territories, including Tibet and a number of border regions near India.

[dodobirdlord]

Tibet

[slimed]

China plays a much longer game than the US. But sure, let's say next decade then. Your analogy is poor. I'm describing the behavior of all hegemonic empires in history. You seem to think the US is a special case. Why is that?

[jessaustin]

I don't think USA is "special" in any sense. I mentioned it only in response to the direct comparison you made between China and USA.

[slimed]

You're beating around the bush. If you agree that hegemonic states engaging in imperialism isn't "special", why are you so resistant to the idea that China will behave that way once it has the opportunity? If you ask those in Tibet and Xinjiang they would argue that they already are.

[jessaustin]

You have a lively imagination with respect to what I hypothetically might intend to say. In fact, I only intended to record the oddity of your objection to thread parent [0]. Apparently we agree that large militarized states are a plague upon humanity. China is too large to see justice in governance, as USA is. However, it will have to change a great deal in twenty years in order to menace the world in the way that USA does. China might be our equal in terms of news and social media totally committed to fear and mistrust of other nations, but they fall far short in terms of a vast rent-seeking self-dealing industrial armaments sector. I'm not even sure that such a sector can arise in the sort of polity they have...

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22311947