[koheripbal]

Right, but again this goes back to OP's point that there is a survivorship bias in the models which tends the community to accept the models that both "predict" the past as well as reinforce the narrative that temperatures will continue to increase.

Having said that, the reality remains that, even without the models, the CO2 levels are increasing, they are well correlated to temperature increases, and they are expected to increase further - so VERY PROBABLY - climate change is a very serious massive problem. This is all true even without the models.

When it comes to the reliability of models, the devil is in the details. ...but, of course, no one should assume that a model turning out to be wrong or biased suddenly negates all the other evidence we have. Models are just one piece of a probability decision tree we need to navigate.