[cm2187]

But the problem is that the Naysayers have been continuously right since 1918! So the problem given that we now cry wolf several times a month (a few weeks ago we were "on the verge of ww3"), is that how can you give any credibility to a real threat when it ultimately comes?

[jopsen]

Maybe, just maybe, crying wolf about ww3 or pandemics is the reason we did something and these things dooms day scenarios didn't happen..

(Maybe not, just saying -- we don't know)

Example, experts did warn Russia might invade Baltic NATO members, NATO did post a reaction force, and Russia haven't invaded a NATO member.

It's hard to say if dooms day predictions caused NATO posturing, and if NATO posturing caused Russia to not invade.

Maybe some of the scenarios we cry wolf about are real threats, we don't know..