[Anon84]

You might want to give http://www.gleamviz.org/simulator/ whirl. You can simulate any epidemic model on a real-life datasets of mobility and healthcare access around the world.

The tricky part is know exactly what the "correct" epidemic model is: length of latent/infectious/etc periods, etc.

Full disclosure: I was once one of the main developers of this epidemic modeling framework.

[benji_is_me]

Coincidentally I was just looking at gleamviz the other day (I was googling around for accurate modeling programs). Sadly when I tried the linux version, it segfaults after some Qt error.

[defgeneric]

This is really cool!

Are there any existing models to start with?

[Anon84]

I've been disconnected from GLEaM for a while now, so I might be missing something better, but the user manual (http://www.gleamviz.org/simulator/GLEAMviz_client_manual_v7....) guides you thorough an example on Sec 4