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by lsllc 2334 days ago
According to published reports (see [1]), 5 million people left Wuhan before the quarantine was implemented.

[1] https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047720/chin...

1 comments

As I said in a different comment, 5 million people leave Wuhan every year around this time, and the model that made this 99%/25% prediction is using data that already takes into account this mass-migration.