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by shadowgovt 2334 days ago
If these stats hold, the disease looks to have a mortality of around 2%.

Doesn't sound like a lot, but an R0 of >2 is concerning because of what it means for total infected. 2% of everyone within range of access to modern transportation is an awful lot of people.
2 comments
theseadroid 2334 days ago
The problem is not many patients who have contracted the virus have released from hospital yet. Any there are many serious cases. From many Chinese sources such as [1], Chinese gov's data shows there are 4515 confirmed cases, 106 deaths, 976 in critical conditions, recovered and discharged only 60 cases. So I'm not sure how we should calculate mortality rate right now.

1. https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/chinese-news-51276067

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sliken 2334 days ago
So far the number of recovered people is trailing deaths, if that holds then it's going to be pretty dire.
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