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by ShorsHammer 2334 days ago
People who are actually concerned at this stage while ignoring the scientists who say there's no proof it's serious are prime examples of the types who get worked up by the media hypetrain and should be actively avoided. It's a harsh assessment but honestly think it's the case.

The media sell stories. People click on those stories, the stories that get clicked on most get other stories written on the topic. This is how the industry works. It's actually quite a simple model.

Human beings are fucking terrible at risk assessment. What do people here think the risk is for them of dying of coronavirus compared to say dying in a traffic accident? Which is more likely to happen to you by a few magnitudes?

3 comments

If the 2% mortality rate is correct, then the risk of dying to the virus is significantly higher than my risk of dying in traffic. It is bad if such a potent virus were to spread everywhere.

That said, I don't trust the numbers so at this point it's hard to say. My gut says there are way more infected people than reported, but deaths are probably less likely to be underreported at that scale. Which means mortality rate would actually be significantly lower than 2%. On flip side, the chance of getting infected would be much higher.

China just shut down 15 cities and 2 provinces with nearly 80 million people and put men with guns in nbc suits at all the exits,shut down the internet,stop all travel and extend public holidays Im sure its perfectly harmless
Please cite the source of shutting down the internet. As a Chinese, as far as I read only physical movement are prohibited. Many people stay at home play online games now.
You can outsmart a traffic accident.

Tough for most to outrun/outsmart an epidemic.

Read/watch some of the Twitter whistleblowers.

Govs have no reason to tell everyone the true risks - and every reason to hide them.

> You can outsmart a traffic accident.

That's absurd considering how many people are unwilling victims of accidents, how exactly would you outsmart it? Never leave home?

No, be an above-average professional driver that can predict accidents based on driving behavior.

It's a thing.

So everyone can simply just be above-average? Given how that is the cognitive bias most widely associated with driving it's a tad ironic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_superiority

Regardless, let's turn that comment around: could it not similarly apply to hygiene and risk of infection? Just be an above-average smart citizen and you'll be fine, yes?