[signal11]

The situation is much more complex than you describe. The telecom sector has been has been hit with arbitrary regulation and tax laws that have disproportionately impacted existing players.

One of the reasons Vodafone has deferred investing is because of uncertainty around the massive tax burden in a 16-year long tax dispute because of a rule the telecoms department made up referred to as “Adjusted Gross Revenue”, which all providers appealed in the courts over years (and lost). It’s a huge tax that significantly eats into providers’ ability to invest. Faced with it, most other providers have simply exited the market.

To add to this, the regulator is hand-in-glove with Reliance Jio, which is the new kid on the block and very well connected politically. Some background: https://thewire.in/tech/reliance-jio-telecom-regulation-trai...

Unsurprisingly the only mobile service provider doing well is the one which is well connected politically. Now the government is waking up to the shit-storm its policies have created, and are considering tax deferments for the existing mobile providers.

In short, mobile services’ regulation in India has been very poor. And the outcome is that from 6+ healthy telecom companies, there is now one healthy company, one scraping by, and one ready to quit.

I don’t believe customers in other markets would want this outcome.