[mensetmanusman]

If patient zero really came from Wuhan, the law of large numbers would put you at odds around 6/100 (60 million people in Wuhan in the 1 billion people region)

[onlyrealcuzzo]

That seems higher than the odds of it being a lab outbreak.

Doesn't every major city the world have some lab testing some kind of virus nearby?

[mensetmanusman]

There is only one of these level-4 labs in China and it is in Wuhan...

[Fomite]

You also don't need a level 4 lab to work on coronaviruses.

[onlyrealcuzzo]

And the outbreak could have, hypothetically, been anything.