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by listenallyall 2350 days ago
Gambler's Fallacy is applicable "when it has otherwise been established that the probability of such events does not depend on what has happened in the past" -- not the case here.

The fact that the server has been running uninterrupted for 55 months is a strong clue that the power to this system is robust, not subject to "random" power loss scenarios like one would expect at a typical residence.

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> The fact that the server has been running uninterrupted for 55 months is a strong clue that the power to this system is robust, not subject to "random" power loss scenarios like one would expect at a typical residence.

I don't remember random power losses in typical first world residences after perhaps the 1990s?

I get them at my house. Every time there's an ice storm. And for a while there was an intermittent issue where floodwaters came up over my internet port in the junction box, and so my internet would go out for a while. Hopefully the power grid isn't as janky.
Interesting! I guess I never lived either in rural areas or anywhere with ice storms.