[Arelius]

Yes, so the primary test, "Does this triangle cover this pixel" is the same between rasterization and ray-tracing. So the fundamental difference is the outer loop.

Rasterization goes for each triangle, which pixels does this intersect, whereas for ray-tracing it's for each pixel which triangles does this intersect.

Clearly, this allows us to build lookup data structures over the inner loop. So back of the hand ray-tracing becomes more efficient when you have more triangles than pixels (give or take an order of magnitude or so due to algorithmic differences)

So, the complexity of real-time content development has slowed due to multiple of reasons, not the least of which being that rasterization (especially modern GPU rasterization with quad based shading) is poorly suited to scenes where polygons approach pixels in coverage. And more importantly, we've hit the polygon density where we appear to be getting better visual quality gains by spending cycles on improved shading rather than more polygons.

Then add in the transition to 4K and we get a much larger pile of pixels once again changing the math all over again.

I don't know what this means for the future. I suspect we won't see much increase in scene complexity until we get to the cliff where ray-tracing is then viable, then I imagine scene complexity for real-time scenes will make a big jump.

Keep in mind, what you read is with offline CGI in mind. And we've already hit that tipping point for offline rendering. Even the last major rasterization hold-out (PRMAN) has switched to path-tracing even primary rays. It's just that real-time rendering is a bit of a different beast.

[Jasper_]

Rasterization has some niceties for things like cache coherency. Since you're rasterizing a triangle at a time, all with the same shaders, textures, and buffers, SIMD techniques used in GPUs is very effective. But when you have ray-tracing, any ray can hit any triangle. If you cast 64 rays and each one hits a different triangle, you lost your entire parallelism. You possibly have to give up on SIMD if the material models between the triangles are different.

For this reason, and for the reason of real-time ray budgets barely approaching 1 ray per pixel at 1080p on the highest cards, ray-tracing tends to mostly be used for specular effects at this time.

Even in non-real-time workloads, this was a massive time sink until ray sorting and batching entered the common practice, collecting rays that hit a single coherent area to be processed at once. And the current RTX model has no strong support for ray batching.

[windoze]

I would have thought that for physically based shaders, most polygons are the same shader with different material parameters, wouldn't that allow SIMD techniques to continue to work?