[eyeball]

>Likely there would be little to no difference, because as it turns out, outcome risk is an awful predictor of benefit, especially among high-risk patients.

Wouldn’t that depend on what benefit you’re trying to achieve? If you want to prevent re-admissions, wouldn’t it be better to focus on people at high risk if future re-admission vs people with high past complexity. (I assume there would be a lot of, but not perfect overlap)