[larnmar]

As a pretty good estimate, roughly zero?

Do you have any proposed mechanism for how Australia’s coal production would lead to increased property losses, aside from the very marginal effect of Australia’s coal production on global warming multiplied by the very marginal effect of global warming on bushfires?

[everdev]

I wonder if fire damage is linear though.

For example, 1% higher temperatures or 1% less moisture or 1% higher wind might produce more than 1% additional fire damage when one occurs.

There might be a reinforcement effect where a slight change in fire conditions produces much more damage when compounded over the range of the fire.

I'm not sure we know the variables well enough to know the exact amount though.

[danielharan]

Thunderstorms and fire tornadoes say your theory is correct:

https://qz.com/1779572/how-australias-massive-bushfires-are-...

[danielharan]

That is a completely relevant article, and anyone downvoting this is just willfully ignorant.

[danielharan]

How do you reckon the impact of climate change is marginal?