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by knzhou 2364 days ago
> But as you note, even though humans are basically black boxes we can ask them questions in order to find out how they came to a particular conclusion.

No, you can't. If somebody treats you with suspicion, it's because of a combination of their news intake, their culture, local events, what their friends and family would think, the way you present yourself, and many other factors. You can always ask somebody to state their reason as a simple "if-then" statement, and they can make one up on the spot, but it'll be so oversimplified that it's basically a lie.

> So maybe we don't necessarily need fully interpretable models but simply a way to ask black-box models specific questions about their state, e.g., "To what degree does a person's age influence the output?".

You can already do that. Just change that number in the input and see how the output changes. To that extent, even the most black box AI model is more transparent than human decision making.

1 comments

> You can always ask somebody to state their reason as a simple "if-then" statement, and they can make one up on the spot, but it'll be so oversimplified that it's basically a lie.

Well, I guess it depends on how self-aware a person is. I think the biggest danger is trying to rationally explain your decision when in fact it was based mostly on your feelings, in which case I agree that the explanation is "basically a lie". One needs to be honest when something is not based on a fact but on a feeling to prevent pointless discussions. (If I hold an opinion based on a feeling then you cannot convince me that I am wrong by giving me facts.)

> You can already do that. Just change that number in the input and see how the output changes.

Makes sense. But I guess transparent models would still be generally preferable because you can fully understand how the output is produced, whereas in black-box models you might have to ask quite a lot of questions to get a feeling for it, but even then you can't be sure that you have a full understanding of it.