Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by geekpowa 2359 days ago
Inflation is an emergent property of money. It isn't set or enforced it just naturally happens because of money. Monetary policy can be set to try to corral it to certain ranges based on economic beliefs about what rate of inflation implies in terms of growth and risk.

2008 happened because of bad debt. That the bad debt was cheap debt certainly poured fuel on the fire, yet the fundamental issue was deregulation and high risk lending practices that followed from that deregulation.

2 comments

> Inflation is an emergent property of money. It isn't set or enforced it just naturally happens because of money.

All of this is wrong. Inflation is a supply / demand problem plain and simple. It has nothing to do with money. What money does have to do with it is when the fed devalues the dollar to drive up inflation. It is not natural. It is clearly controlled. If the fed didn't exist, we'd face both inflation and deflation only based on supply and demand. So we'd never have a steady increase in prices (unless the royal mint of our fantasy land was really opening up the spigots, in which case they're the same as the fed).

> 2008 happened because of bad debt.

Yes. But what people don't see is the sequence of events that led to it. If you're in finance, it's blatantly obvious, but outside it, it's shrouded in mist because no one famous will put it in an understandable form.

2008 happened primarily because of Alan Greenspan. What people don't realise is that none of the world leaders since the 1980s have done anything of consequence compared to what Greenspan did. His policy of "let's just keep the pumps open" have inflated markets and literally powered this exponential tech growth we're seeing now. My conjecture is that it'll stall out. Money doesn't grow on trees however much we may want it to.

2008 was the culmination of this 3 decade long money pump. But what did the fed do when it realised 2008 was happening? Oh that's right - it pumped even more money. But that's a topic for another time.

Debt levels are now higher than 2008 levels, what's different? https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-consumer-debt-is-now-br...