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by ethanjdiamond 2364 days ago
- Self driving cars will have a subset of roads that they are allowed to take since they can't perform well enough generally yet. They will be 100% allowed on highways, with trucking/bussing without a driver being very common.

- VR/AR becomes common (though still not surpassing cellphones), the killer app begins not for consumer use but for business use. Apple comes out of nowhere to kick this off.

- Most people's personal computers live in the cloud by 2030. Local storage and powerful CPUs become uncommon.

- AI overtaking jobs continues, but not exponentially. It's clear it's a big problem, but it's a slow enough burn that nothing's done about it by the end of 2030.

- The climate change conversation doesn't change. It's less bad than alarmists think and not the biggest problem the world faces yet.

- Genetic engineering moves faster than people think it will. China gains a huge lead and it becomes available commercially to parents there by the end of 2030.

- Someone will gain fame by livestreaming their entire life via AR.

- Digital tech continues to lead but Biotech gets much closer and it is clear that it will overtake digital tech stocks in the following decade.

- The trend of children/people spending less time out of their homes continues. Many businesses start moving into people's homes (i.e. Home workouts instead of gyms. Home medical care instead of doctors offices).

- A bunch of key cancers will be able to be strongly mitigated, like aids is now. Some are still death sentences.

- Cryptocurrency continues to be niche.

- No WWIII.

- Movement into cities continues. Property prices continue to rise.

- Deepfaked actors in movies become a significant percentage of films.

- Serverless wins wholesale. AWS not only continues to succeed but grows in influence.

- Javascript is on the decline by 2030.

- Sports move to streaming, which is the last death blow to cable. It's effectively dead by 2030.