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by MachineMartin 2356 days ago
* 32-bit will still not die. Even in 2038 there will still be 32-bit CPUs chugging away happily - blissfully unaware of 2038-01-19T03:14.

* Donald Trump will have finished his second term. The Americans will be none the wiser and will choose an even worse candidate.

* Self-driving cars have taken over all traffic that has fixed routes in the Western world (e.g busses and trucks).

* The number of people who care about privacy will reach critical mass, so privacy focused products like Librem 5 will actually have a market.

* Lab grown meat will be cheap enough to be served as a curiosity (50 USD/kg), but still too expensive for daily use.

* USB-C will be _the_ dominant connector: We will wonder why we had so many different power supplies. HDMI, VGA, FireWire, eSATA, USB-A+B, 3.5mm jack will only be used by aficionados.

* Drone delivery will be a thing in select areas in OECD, but not world wide.

* A cell phone can fit in your watch and communicate with something similar to Google Glasses, which also has sound. No need to lug around with a huge matchbox.

* Toilets that analyse your stool will be a thing. It will be used in hospitals, and by rich health fanatics.

* Fields only touched by robots will be harvested - not as an experiment but as production.

* Lots of people will be unemployable due to AI and automation. The rich will claim "They are just lazy." They poor will not be desperate enough to start a revolution.

* RISC V or similar open source architecture will have taken the place ARM has today, and will be eating into the lower end of Intel's portfolio.

* Another economic bubble bursts the size of 2008. Nothing was learned from 2008, and the rich will get richer, the poor will pay.

* Chatbot passes the Turing test.

* Muzak will be written by AI and will be good enough. Similar to thispersondoesnotexist.com which is good enough for many purposes.

* IPv4 will still be the dominant IP version.

* Buffer overflows will still be a thing.

* Quantum computers still can not break 1024-bit RSA, but it is getting so close that no one considers RSA secure at any keylength.

* Moore's law is over. If you need more power parallelize your problem and use many servers. Cores will be cheaper, though.

1 comments

Cool - we've beat some of those. John Deere has 80 million acres under automatic tillage. Millions of people are unemployable due to automation (except as starvation-wage service workers). And Moore's law has been faltering for years.