[dsign]

Deep learning is not going to get us to AGI. But the hardware techniques definitely are going to get us a bit closer.

I did the numbers a while ago and honestly I don't think we need smaller transistors to get the computation volume of our mushy brains -- although ofc, more and smaller transistors is always very nice. I believe the only thing stopping AGI at this point is architecture -- we really have no idea how to connect and structure something as complex as our brains -- and cognitive maturity. The last part is my way of saying "two weeks for training a NN? Wait until you have a kid and have to work on training the little human for decades....".

TBH, the ethical implications of AGI seem insurmountable to me. Life is a game --meaning the universe doesn't care about us, nor we owe anything to it--, and for now, it's our game. So, I would rather we put all that computing to improving human life -- including mind upload,-- and put AGI right there with nuclear weapons.