| 1. State of AGI - No AGI happens but AI bots with multiple pre-learnt skills would begin being available for popular consumption 2. Self Driving Cars - Almost all cars will be self-driven. 3. FAANG - Facebook will face Government action, will cease to be the biggest social network, will change market and be a major player there. Some non-US company is the biggest social network. Google will no longer be top player in any major market, but will continue being a huge company. Amazon and Netflix continue innovating and improving. Apple is replaced by some other most innovative consumer hardware company. Microsoft is still one of the top companies of the decade.
[Obviously subject to non-occurance of major leadership changes; MS would have shrunk in the last decade if not for that.] 4. Social Networks: Centralized and private social networks co-exist. Data interoperability is possible. The market for Social Network stops increasing by the end of the decade. 5. Politics: Allegiance towards national governments is heavily reduced. People are more active in their local communities. 6. Religion: If 5 happens, organised central religion loses importance, but subcultures with eccentric practices and beliefs emerge throughout the world. 7. Recession: No major recession happens. 8. Space Exploration: Manned flights to other planets possible. Too expensive. Interplanetary civilization is still far-fetched. 9. VR: Headsets become ubiquitous. Developer ecosystem for VR is at the onset. Huge opportunities ahead. No existing major player/hardware company is able to make a successful headset in-house. An independent company reimagines hardware and software, ships well built and cheap hardware, and owns the market for a while. Followed by other companies shipping similar hardware. 10. Decentralization: Distrust in central government, currency, religions, news corps, social networks, banks will be at an all time high. Decentralization will be the popularly accepted and still debated by conservatives. 11. Education: College education stays, ends up being reinvented. Archaic colleges start losing relevance. 12. Startups: Building new solutions in existing systems is a hard problem. Startups appear to get easy and ubiquitous, but the ease of doing a startups is supposed to remain constant throughout history and future. 13. Environment: Companies and governments will have to take more action because of public outrage. The situation doesn't improve much. 14. Remote Work: Most companies allow for remote gigs. Apart from more 'hip' companies emerging, major companies remain conservative about remote work. Tools like Slack, Asana, Notion would become giants. 15. Cryptocurrency: Cryptocurrency enters consumer use. Multiple currencies compete initially; winner takes all. Social Crediting a major feature of the winner. 16. Deepfakes: Applications on it become popularly available. People realize it's just another fad like anonymous social networks. 17. Airpods and Audio: Airpods lead the headset market, big companies happen in audio space. 2-hour non-interactive podcasts don't work, some other format becomes the standard for the industry. 18. US, China and India hold the top three spots for largest economies. |