[bitL]

- individual GPUs will hit a plateau at around 25TFlops in FP32 due to Moore's law and thermal dissipation however it will be easier than ever to interconnect multiple GPUs into large virtual ones due to interconnect tech improvements and modularization of GPU processing units

- only large companies will be able to train and use SOTA models with training costs in $10M-$100M per training run and those models will hit law of diminishing returns quickly

- 50% of all white collar jobs will be automated away, including a significant chunk of CRUD software work. Increased productivity won't be shared back with society, instead two distinct wealth strata of society will be formed worldwide due to scale effects, like in Latin America (<1% owners, >99% fighting for their lives).

- AI will make marketing, ads and behavioral programming much more intrusive and practically unavoidable

[mkl]

I think you're talking about a much longer period than just 2020. The job prediction seems unlikely to happen within the next decade, even.

[wnkrshm]

So the Butlerian Jihad [0] for the 2040s?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dune_(franchise)#The_Butlerian...

[petra]

>> including a significant chunk of CRUD software work.

Can you please expand on how that will look like ?