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by kenips 2362 days ago
1. This will be the last time I’m typing my decade prediction on HN

2. AR/VR will be complementary only, travel industry will be bigger than ever; shopping will happen as your travel (product placement in all your experiences)

3. Weather-related disasters to be more rampant and frequent

4. Governments go bankrupt and hyper-inflation in developed countries

5. Disney still owns everything

6. Intel loses leadership in CPU market, as Apple leads the post-x86 world

7. Facebook to be the Google of the decade; Tesla to be Facebook of the decade

2 comments

Regarding 4, governments will probably not go bankrupt because almost every single nation is in massive debt relative to its GDP so almost all nations will be forced to print money.

In isolation, a single country printing its way out of debt would devalue its currency and cause inflation, but if all countries do it together there should be little relative change in their currency values, meaning nothing would actually change.

It's kind of hilarious to think the global debt "crisis" may amount to little more than nothing.

> Governments go bankrupt and hyper-inflation in developed countries

I heard this a lot in 2007. If the financial crisis taught us anything it's that developed world economies are astonishingly resistant to inflation of any kind.