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by dibujaron 2363 days ago
The section on Nationalism indicates to me that we're heading towards a period of major, great-power conflict. I could see it being a lot of smaller, officially unrelated wars or one big one.

Since WW2 we have enjoyed the longest ever period without direct conflict between great powers. How much longer can we expect this to last?

2 comments

He's really far off about the EU. The EU will fix its problems and join into the geopolitical theatre as a unified block. No one wants to follow the UK.
I concur, in fact Brexit might have the reverse effect of France, Germany led EU moving towards a closer union.
The difference in great power wars since WW2 is we now have nuclear weapons (yes apart from the bombing of Japan). As long as we fight proxy wars (Vietnam, Syria) then we haven't used them, but I can't see a war between for example the US and China over Taiwan or European states and Russia not devolving into nuclear war very quickly.
How long can nuclear weapons be kept without being used?

We are as close as ever to nuclear war according to the doomsday clock, just two minutes to midnight.