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by amursft 2364 days ago
Good predictions.

Didn't mention distributed/remote work. Not sure if that's because it's so obvious a trend as to be boring?

I think he's early on the plant-based diet prediction, but correct in 20-30 years. Actually a lot of these seem like trends that might take more than 10 years, but have a high chance of being correct eventually.

1 comments

Distributed work will continue to be a minor thing prevalent mainly in tech circles. Human nature doesn’t change on 10 year timescales. We’re tribal beings who organize around work and family.

Best Buy’s pullback from it for their office staff is instructive.

Yeah I've been doing remote 95% of the last couple years and it takes a toll not being able to be around people at all. Even as a mostly introverted person who needs quiet alone time for solving harder problems and general flow state. There's something about social interaction that helps with motivation that I find hard to get over chat and video. This is assuming the people are not toxic somehow.
See my post above: there are reasons to be optimistic remote social presence and shared spatial awareness for many contexts will be solved this decade.