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by LaserPineapple
2369 days ago
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> The sum or sample average of a simple mixture of Bernoulli distributions still converges to a Normal. The procedure given in the example is not a sum of samples from a mixture of Bernoulli distributions. It is a mixture of sums of Bernoulli distributions. |
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> Let's consider the following scenario: say we have three coins with different biases (their probability of coming up heads): 0.4, 0.5 and 0.6. We pick one of the three coins at random, toss it 300 times and count the number of heads. What is the distribution obtained?
This is approximating the sum of 300 Bernoulli RVs with a Normal, which is perfectly valid.
> As we have seen, if we fix the coin we're tossing, the number of heads can effectively be approximated by a distribution N(300p,300p(1−p)) (where p is the coin's bias). This time, however, each time we take a sample we might be tossing any of the three different coins.
I understand the procedure here to be (1) choosing one of the 3 coins at random and tossing it, (2) repeating step (1) 300 times and summing the resulting number of heads. In this case the CLT does apply: the distribution of the sum-of-number-of-heads is approximately Normal, not the plotted tri-modal density.