Privacy concerns regarding sharing everything with others or lack of trust from current giants.
Commercial overload and noise. Attention is split into bigger and bigger share among the top players and is constantly gamed.
Disinformation and government ability to censor in one swoop compared to a private group made of few or many people you know or have similar interest with.
Rising nationalism? Politicians are catching up and government is pushing for alternatives to US tech giants and ability for other countries to influence their people.
Generational change?
Long term - when universal income is a thing or there is more time allocated for your hobbies, people will have time to invest in their particular interest groups and such. Currently, many don't have much time to do it so they rely on centralized sources for their stuff which is filled with noise and too many different people they don't know.
My scar tissue from building consumer products tells me big shifts rarely happen without micro trends.
For instance, macro trends could be bad pr, mishandling of user data and privacy. But when you really ask those teens who've shifted away from Facebook, you realize the case is different.
- Feed based networks require more friction than messaging and story-based networks
- Ability to share w close friends increases sharing
- Synchronous communication over IRC feels better than async posts and comments
What do you think could be a strong micro-trend reason to shift to siloed social networks instead of a global social network?
Commercial overload and noise. Attention is split into bigger and bigger share among the top players and is constantly gamed.
Disinformation and government ability to censor in one swoop compared to a private group made of few or many people you know or have similar interest with.
Rising nationalism? Politicians are catching up and government is pushing for alternatives to US tech giants and ability for other countries to influence their people.
Generational change?
Long term - when universal income is a thing or there is more time allocated for your hobbies, people will have time to invest in their particular interest groups and such. Currently, many don't have much time to do it so they rely on centralized sources for their stuff which is filled with noise and too many different people they don't know.