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by datashow 2378 days ago
For the second point, can you differentiate how much of the impact was from the diverse signals generated from the trade war and the impeachment process, and how much of the impact was from his tweets alone? The fact is that the news from the trade war and impeachment process create signals even without his tweets, his tweets only changes the timing of the signals (or not).
1 comments

That is assuming that he only tweets when there already are external signals, which (I hope) we can agree he doesn't.

Timings should be measurable too though.

What I am says is that if he does not tweet, the news will come out anyway. In this case he only changes the timing.

If the news is already out, his tweet doesn't even change the timing.

I understand that, but he also tweets non-news, that still moves the needle.