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by chrisco255 2373 days ago
You linked climate data that included 1981-2010. When you actually search all of the historic data in the drop down, you'll find that there's no significant trend in # of days >35C since 1861. 1981-2010 did show 10.8 for that figure, but the periods 1871-1900, 1881-1910, 1891-1920, and 1901-1930 all showed around the same figure, at 10.8, 11.2, 11.1, and 10.2 respectively.

It looks more like a cyclical trend in Melbourne heat.

1 comments

“It’s getting hotter” was based on “all data” vs 81-2010. Which shows an increase. (>30, 30 -> 32.1 & >35, 10 -> 10.8)

Additionally based on an abc podcast, the signal, which stated that since 1987 summer temperatures have been above average.

[the signal](https://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/the-signal/changing-su...)

Let’s not get into a climate change debate. It’s not going to get significantly colder to the point where these trains are going to run on time more often.

I just quoted four other 30 year periods in the late 1800s and early 1900s that were just as hot or hotter than 81-10. You are just comparing an above average period with an average over 150 years. Ok, that says nothing, if the data set is cyclical and you cherry pick a trough or a peak to make a point, you're being dishonest.

I wouldn't bet that.