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by blazespin
2391 days ago
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An AI winter will not happen. We are past the point of no return. The vast majority of research is net positive research. The only risk is misappropriation of investment, but that has already been smoothed over quickly. I’d get the complaint if AI was not doing anything useful as it wasn’t in ‘74, but it simply is. For example, plate recognition, drones and facial recognition. These are brutally efficient technologies. To imagine any government under investing in these is a total misunderstanding of the value that AI brings to military, security, and economic dominance. It’s a race between nations and the only danger is the computers taking over (not in a general AI way, but in a way that everything is run by algorithms no human can understand) |
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Without a doubt, there's an investment bubble for AI companies in industry: a huge amount of companies have added "AI" to their proposition, where the AI is only marginally useful if not useful at all, for the purpose of marketing and inflating valuation.
On research side, it's now clear the current AI paradigm will not produce the kind of massive, society-shifting promises that were made to investors, which is the focus of the article.
Yes deep learning is here to stay for narrow tasks, but the investment contraction for the rest could certainly feel like a Winter.