[3fe9a03ccd14ca5]

I don’t think so. AI is a tool. It doesn’t make any sense to say “a screwdriver can now screw things in better than a person” anymore than saying an “AI can diagnose better than any doctor”. The doctors use AI just like a mechanic uses a screw driver.

[Ghexor]

Good argument and I'm sure it's going to be like that in some regards. I think, though, that human intellect is a tool too and we're building a better one right now. So in your analogy we are the screwdriver and we're building electrical screwdrivers or something.

[red75prime]

At some point a person who uses AI doesn't need to be a doctor anymore.

[3fe9a03ccd14ca5]

Pareto principle predicts AI will get to 80% fairly rapidly, but it will take a really, really long time to get to 100%.

I think we’ll see a lot of things similar to “AI x-ray technician” fields where people are trained to read AI outputs. Doctors will do higher levels decisions.

[red75prime]

Nevertheless the difference is qualitative. A screw driver will never make technicians obsolete.