[Draiken]

On the large scale, I think Orwell's view is correct. The pattern always repeats itself.

However on the individual level, you can reap the benefits of the revolutions and will die before the next cycle, so there's always at least some incentive to challenge the status quo.

It doesn't change the fact that it's hopeless on the large scale.

[fspeech]

Technology has the potential of flattening the social hierarchy somewhat. Or more likely it gives some an out even if they can't get the social status they want -- like making it easier for one to live a life cut off from immediate social circles (and status competition). Anonymous online association is an example that comes to mind.