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by zpeti 2399 days ago
This shows a complete lack of knowledge about how most industries evolved in the past. Every industry was in the phase you describe the space industry in.

History is full of example of industries where no-one could imagine the potential before it got really cheap. From mobile phones to cars. Once something gets cheap the opportunities explode. Which is SpaceX's plan.

At $20/kg a space hotel would be possible to build, even a moon hotel. I'd imagine at some point it becomes seriously viable as an alternative to a luxury holiday in the maldives. I for one am interested. Or - apparently much better repeaters can be built in 0g for fiber optic cables. Already there's talk of factories in space. Did you think of that one?

But it's almost silly to speculate because it's impossible to imagine the industries that will be created.

1 comments

Exactly, you're not going to have the first mover advantage if you are waiting for someone to be ahead of you.
But if you are someone like lockhead you have money to wait for spacex to fizzle out, headhunt their talent, and outperform with your military industrial complex connections and 70 years of working in aerospace.
Yeah, just like Ford and GM waited out Tesla to fail... (and SpaceX is profitable as opposed to Tesla)
Tesla made a profit of $143 million in Q3 2019 on record deliveries

https://arstechnica.com/cars/2019/10/tesla-made-a-profit-of-...