[varjag]

> Its almost hard to imagine what life was like before things like twitter, uber, spotify, youtube, and to think that they were either only a few years old or barely taking their first steps at the beginning of the decade is mind-blowing.

All things you listed were founded in the previous decade, and indeed nothing in tech of this decade would be shocking to someone in 2009.

Based on this I expect the next decade will also see very little innovation.

[mettamage]

Sure, from the technology innovation perspective I 100% a gree with you. But IMO chansiky has a point with the social aspect of it all.

In 2008 it all felt new or at least new-ish. In 2008 I did not have a YouTube addiction or kicked off a Facebook addiction. Those things started happening at the beginning of this decade.

People are beginning to have more well-defined opinions about these big companies. I have non-techy friends who left FB, for example.

[imtringued]

The difference is that it is now part of daily life, even in developing nations. In the 00s it was mostly the early adopters in rich western countries that were using modern tech.

[varjag]

Not in 2009..

[randomsearch]

2020s = VR

[rhlsthrm]

Do you think VR will be more mainstream than AR? I tend to believe that once AR becomes really good it will be more mainstream than VR because it can integrate with your normal life and provide useful things like a HUD and also crazy cool things like interactive holograms.

[randomsearch]

I’m not an expert on VR, but it seems to me that the consensus is that AR will truly mature after VR. So maybe it doesn’t make sense to differentiate, because at that point AR will be “VR-lite” rather than VR evolving as “AR-heavy”.

My personal opinion is that full immersive VR will be more compelling, as it’s going to all be about people interacting and collaborating over distance, and VR will work better for that.