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by zeeone 2395 days ago
Most modern recessions are caused by investor fear and panic. In March 2020, if Elizabeth Warren gets the democratic nomination, you can expect a medium to deep recession caused by her high tax plan and business-hostile policies. You can gauge this by the high number of put option contracts with March expiration being purchased, compared to all other months.
2 comments

Link?
Would that result in a spike if Trump looks like he'll win the general election?
Yes. As it already did in 2016.