I remember when in the 90s most people preferred POP3 (for mail transfer), because for privacy reasons they didn't want their provider to have access to their mails. And quite a large number of people used encryption, even if they weren't technically inclined.
Today almost no one cares about privacy anymore. Expectations have completly changed within a century. Today it's, e.g., common for most people to store all of their chat logs on Google's server, without regularly deleting them. Or another example: Today we have much more advanced surveillance systems used against the general population than the techniques used in the DDR. For most people back in the DDR those surveillance systems where not acceptable. Today most people accept them if it helps the government "to find terrorists and criminals".
If privacy expectations can change within a century, why shouldn't the expectations on one's car change?
> And quite a large number of people used encryption, even
> if they weren't technically inclined.
I agree with your broader point that expectations and perceptions can change fast, but I don't ever remember a time when "quite a large number" of people used email encryption. Perhaps a larger group of users then than now had a desire for email encryption.
Google already has self driving cars that can safely navigate city traffic. I would say that 20 years is plenty of time to resolve the remaining technical and social issues.
Only if it happens to go where you want it, and at the speed you want. Roads coverage is a lot more thorough and road travel tends to be faster outside of rush hour.
That's an open question. An autodrive in traffic might be much more practical if it can either predict or communicate with the autodrives in all the other cars, rather than having to adapt to our erratic meat-oriented behavior.
What I'm predicting is a ban on manual control in heavy traffic. Besides any throughput improvement, all-autodrive traffic will probably be safer, which is our priority (to an IMHO unhealthy extreme).
How will an eventual ban (after every vehicle has auto-drive presumably) on manual control have any impact on the initial take-up of auto-drive systems? What you're talking about (if it ever happens) will only happen many years after auto-drive becomes popular.
I remember when in the 90s most people preferred POP3 (for mail transfer), because for privacy reasons they didn't want their provider to have access to their mails. And quite a large number of people used encryption, even if they weren't technically inclined.
Today almost no one cares about privacy anymore. Expectations have completly changed within a century. Today it's, e.g., common for most people to store all of their chat logs on Google's server, without regularly deleting them. Or another example: Today we have much more advanced surveillance systems used against the general population than the techniques used in the DDR. For most people back in the DDR those surveillance systems where not acceptable. Today most people accept them if it helps the government "to find terrorists and criminals".
If privacy expectations can change within a century, why shouldn't the expectations on one's car change?