I’m not OP, but I would argue that. There’s no realistic scenario in which leaving the single market makes Britain a more attractive place for (most) businesses.
1. Extremely easy and friendly immigration policies for world’s top talent - better than in the US
2. Legal ability to easily hire and fire people
3. Legal ability to run a business out of your garage
4. Lower taxes - income, corporate, capital gains - than in the US
5. Free trade, even if unilateral, as the US is involved in tariffs and trade wars
All of this combined, given that the UK is English speaking, could lead to the UK overtaking Silicon Valley in terms of startups. Most of the world’s top talent would, all else being equal, prefer to live around Cambridge than in Palo Alto.
And I think an argument could be made that being more competitive on all those points would be easier outside the EU.
I suspect you would disagree with Paul's essay/the goals he outlined, and that's fine. My point is that if you did agree with his essay, you might see that Brexit could also open opportunities.
I wouldn't dispute there are potential benefits to Brexit, I'm saying there are no obvious winning arguments, and clear counters to all of yours.
Also by purely framing it in terms of business, you are in danger of making two errors:
1. Assuming all business has the same needs, and all business owners have the same perspective.
2. Much more importantly, business is just one factor of the national life affected by the split, and - as pointed out -has a natural tension with other issues like rights and standards that you haven't addressed.
1. Extremely easy and friendly immigration policies for world’s top talent - better than in the US
2. Legal ability to easily hire and fire people
3. Legal ability to run a business out of your garage
4. Lower taxes - income, corporate, capital gains - than in the US
5. Free trade, even if unilateral, as the US is involved in tariffs and trade wars
All of this combined, given that the UK is English speaking, could lead to the UK overtaking Silicon Valley in terms of startups. Most of the world’s top talent would, all else being equal, prefer to live around Cambridge than in Palo Alto.