[jillesvangurp]

It doesn't ignore it but the premise of capital cost is that it then gives you access to potential gains. That breaks down if you are dependent on selling to a monopolist that sets prices based on their own needs rather than the market needs. In this case, local energy providers get protective about their more costly infrastructure when faced with homeowners supplying cheaper energy to the point where they charge negatively.

Right now the power market is weird because people are deliberately installing less solar than they need/want because their local energy providers are simply refusing to buy the excess energy beyond a certain number of kwh. And since they are the only party you could feasibly sell to, a lot of homeowners simply install less capacity.

Think about it, you've got engineers on the roof to install solar panels, wires, inverters, etc. and the panel cost is only a small portion of the overall cost. Why would you cap your installation at 4kwh when your needs are closer to 10 kwh and you have room for 20 kwh? That's exactly what's happening in a lot of places.