[o09rdk]

My personal impression is decentralized tech — at least with regard to established equivalent functionality — is still in a kind of emergent state. I think there's a lot of options, and there's some coalescing around some standards, but the landscape is a little chaotic in terms of standards and options. My guess is that will take a little while for people to adopt certain standards, and it will require more niche communities to do so first, followed by the broader population. I'm not even quite sure that the current offerings, in their current forms, are necessarily what will get adopted.

Also too, I think the software-as-a-service and cloud model has created a certain expectation among society, that everything is handed off to someone else. Decentralized tech requires a bit more involvement, that might be more familiar to older experienced users but not newer ones, or might require native users who gravitate it as their first choice for various reasons.

Finally, there are limitations with decentralized tech; I suspect that any eventual equilibrium will always be in flux and will include some centralized, decentralized, and federated technology in various proportions depending on societal circumstances.

Everything can be cast in terms of economic incentives perhaps?