[newyankee]

China US cold war at some point of time ? In 5 - 10 years China may become powerful enough to be able to bully all nations bar US to pursue its interests. Economic colonisation of weaker states in Africa and elsewhere (e.g. Pakistan) by China will lead to interesting geopolitical scenarios.

[jjakque]

My forecast for near future geopolitics is grim as collateral damages will happen in most countries, first world or not, west or not.

I am also pessimistic about open initiatives (open source, open data, open standards etc) as benefiters will exponentially overweight contributors, to a point contributors will sick of people eating free lunches. It may also become more and more illegal to disclose security risks and software vulnerabilities.