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> The rise may be unprecedented, the level isn't.
So you admit the there is a problem ;) The level hasn't been this high for over 400,000 years. How many homo sapiens were around then to adapt to that? The unprecedented rise is the problem, and it's not just CO2 and methane rising faster than should be expected, it's also the global temperature. > That's a strong statement for what it is at best a discernible correlation.
It's a strong and very valid statement, supported by a wealth of science. In this instance it's not really possible, or wise, to run multiple randomly controlled experiments on our own planet to conclusively prove the point. Instead, we have a lot of observations and modelling that allow us to run those experiments, and the weight of those say we have a problem. > We absolutely have to drop everything and start cooling the planet?
The majority consensus is not to drop everything but to continue making substantial changes to human activity to reduce warming. You personally do not need to become an eco-warrior, just more aware of the effect you're having on the planet and try to reduce it. Cooling the planet is now beyond expectations. The aim now is for it not to warm up too much. > Until the next ice age, when presumably we'll have to warm it?
That is a terribly big false equivalency! First, yes, I expect so. Second, it's totally different! Ice ages take multiple hundreds, if not thousands, of years to get going. The next ice age is not going to affect the next generation, global warming is. The benefits to ecological improvements and the risk of climate change vastly outweigh the costs. Less pollution related illness, our limited resources will last longer, etc... The risk alone is enough to make me think that ignoring the problem is the morally wrong choice, the benefits double the equation. |
No, the weight of those say there will be an increase in temperature. Never mind that the weight of these have been wrong for more narrow definitions of the word "wrong":
https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/styles/pubs/public...
If those models can't predict ten years into the future with any reasonable amount of confidence, how can we trust them to predict the next 100 years?
Even then, let's say these models are more or less correct, what exactly says "we have a problem"? What problem? We already have tons of problems! Not being able to emit CO2 would be a huge problem in and of itself. What are the models to predict the actual problems caused by climate change? How good are those? Do 95% of scientists agree on them?
> The majority consensus is not to drop everything but to continue making substantial changes to human activity to reduce warming.
Okay, I don't exactly feel like making substantial changes to my lifestyle based on these predictions, especially since the impact doesn't concern me much at all. Now what? Good luck getting all that political support that you will need.