[jimfleming]

I think your conclusions are accurate. For many problems LightGBM or xgboost can often yield decent results in short amounts of time and for many problems that’s sufficient. A lot of the work we do is about pushing the results as far as we can take them and the business case justifies the extra time it can take to get there. For those types of problems, today, we would probably choose a neural network because then we have a lot more knobs as you mentioned.

Just like the rest of ML, whether neural networks are the right choice still depends on the problem at hand and the team implementing the solution. It definitely impacts where the performance / time curves intersect. If we just need something decent fast, or we’re working with another team that doesn’t have the same background, we tend to focus on approaches with fewer moving pieces. If we need the best possible performance, have a qualified team to get there, and have the time to iterate on development then the curves would favor neural networks.