[glofish]

The problem is that you are conflating things.

The only explanation for observing 1000 coin flips coming up as heads is that something other than random chance made that happen.

Simply observing a series of events does not immediately explain the source and reason those events occurred.

Naturally, there could be several explanations - the overwhelmingly most likely is that he was cheating.

[Crosseye_Jack]

> The only explanation for observing 1000 coin flips coming up as heads is that something other than random chance made that happen.

> Naturally, there could be several explanations - the overwhelmingly most likely is that he was cheating.

But you can't have it both ways, You can't say their could be several explanations and something other than random chance made that happen for the same thing.

I'm not trying to say its likely. Just thats its possible and because its possible that can not be the sole basis to prove guilt. You say "overwhelmingly most likely" and yes I agree its very unlikey but its still possible and because it is possible we shouldn't use that as the sole basis to prove guilt.

Use it as a pointer to start digging into them sure. find other things to build your case. But don't use that sole thing as the basis of guilt.

All I've been saying all this time is that its possible. And because it is possible that I personally won't "throw someone under the bus" because its improbable and not impossible.

[retsibsi]

You're still ignoring the point everyone is trying to make: whatever set of evidence you have, however strongly it points to someone's guilt, there are always possible alternative explanations. 100% certainty is a requirement that will never, ever be met.