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by CharlesColeman 2458 days ago
> Blowing up a home or two harboring a "terrorist cell" during a meeting I'm sure will be deterrence enough for a lot of those gun owners.

By deterrence, did you actually mean motivation?

Killing someone's family and friends often radicalizes them, and I would say it very rarely pacifies them.

I mean look at the example of the HK protests: the police didn't stop them by kicking some people's teeth in [1], they actually fueled them by doing that.

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/asia/100000006702862/hon...

1 comments

No. I believe that the sum total effect would be deterrence - sure some would radicalize and may throw themselves suicidally against the regime, but I believe the majority would give way to their desire for self preservation.

Why does the USA order strikes on terrorist targets, knowing full well there will be blowback? Because, on the whole, the strategy works.

> No. I believe that the sum total effect would be deterrence - sure some would radicalize and may throw themselves suicidally against the regime, but I believe the majority would give way to their desire for self preservation.

Your belief is contradicted by recent evidence.

> Why does the USA order strikes on terrorist targets, knowing full well there will be blowback? Because, on the whole, the strategy works.

No, it doesn't. They've been doing that for 20 years in Afghanistan, and we still have headlines like:

"Afghan government controls just 57 percent of its territory, U.S. watchdog says" (2017)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/02/02...

"As talks to end the war in Afghanistan continue in Qatar this week, and amid continued political disarray in Kabul, there seems to be one clear trend on the ground: The Taliban are consolidating control. The longer the war drags on—now in its 18th year—the more the balance of the conflict tips in the insurgent group’s favor. While there has been fierce debate in the West and in government-controlled areas of Afghanistan about what peace talks with the Taliban mean for women’s rights and the future of Afghan democracy, the view from Taliban-controlled areas suggests a harsh reality that few in the international community seem prepared for: If peace talks succeed, the Taliban will effectively formalize, and likely expand, their control over vast swaths of the country. If peace talks fail, however, the outcome will likely be far worse, with renewed fighting and a precarious government in Kabul."

https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/04/afghanistan-taliban-pea...