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by imron
2456 days ago
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> which is that no one can give a bright-line rule[2] to distinguish between the "real" science and pseudo-science "if you can't repeat and predict, stop calling it science" seems like a nice bright line. Peer-review obviously isn't enough, I'd like to see peer-replicated studies become a thing. |
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Some of these cases can be rescued by considering "retrodiction"[1][2] as valid substitute for prediction in the right circumstances, but not all.
I personally think the analysis of the Mott problem[3] points the way to the solution to some of these kinds of issues. That is, a prediction can take the form of a likelihood function which assigns high probabilities to certain combinations of events and low probabilities to others. Theories with low perplexity[4] can be considered correct even if they can't make predictions, and the study of such theories can be scientific. But as far as I know I am the only one who thinks so.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retrodiction
[2]: https://afdave.wordpress.com/2007/09/04/sir-karl-popper-and-...
[3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mott_problem
[4]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perplexity