[melling]

He says he started in 1977 on the vision system.

https://ethw.org/Oral-History:Ernst_Dickmanns

“ And of course, what you could observe was at every PhD generation, I say 4-5 years, the computing power increased by a factor of 10. So within 15 years, we started 1977, from '80-95, this is a factor of 1000 in computing power. ”

We’re at 1 million times in computing power by now?

[DaiPlusPlus]

> We’re at 1 million times in computing power by now?

And according to a friend of mine with expertise in GPU programming, Tesla's HW3 chips still simply aren't powerful enough to run a sufficient NN for real-time world scene reconstruction from streaming video (indeed, the demos that Tesla has done were using water-cooled supercomputers sitting in the trunk/cargo-area). But here's to hoping!

[KKKKkkkk1]

I wonder whether in 1977 the AI community told him not to bother because AI is going to solve it anyway. http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html

[saalweachter]

This is just a restatement of Moore's Law (doubling every 18 months). 2^(5/1.5) = 10.1.