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by iamwil 2470 days ago
For fun, I put together http://isitrecession.com, in the spirit of https://isitchristmas.com

It just shows the inverted yield curve, pulling down data from the US treasury everyday, and subtracting the 1 year from the 10 year interest rate.

2 comments

Can you also plot the S&P 500 (SPY) either overlayed or below the yield curve graph. Would be interesting to correlate.
Will do.
You can also add frequency of words like 'recession', 'downturn', etc. You may count them on different news sites. I did it like 15 years ago, it was a lot of fun.
What defines a recession? Contraction of business right? Not just inverted yeild curve.