[outside1234]

The current odds of a recession are the same as just before the big recession of 2008.

Also, concerningly, the real estate market is just as leveraged and bubbled as then as well.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2019/06/30/current...

[novaRom]

This analyst writes about that bubble and that it will burst since many years. What is the point? You simply cannot predict future exactly based on historical data. Times are different, technology is different, human behavior is changing, demography is changing, etc.