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by Havoc 2470 days ago
We don't.

Anyone with any real predictive power over that question had a license to print money

3 comments

Yes, which is why Ray Dalio has done just that
How?
Buy low, sell high
More like borrow + sell when high, buy + return when low. Doesn't flow off the tongue as well though, have to admit.
Or more importantly in this case: sell high, buy low
Writing option contracts and shorting the market are two examples which come to mind.
Let’s say you had an algorithm that predicted when a recession was declared on average (this is important) 2 months earlier than when it was technically acknowledged (what this algorithm purports to do).

What series of orders would you put in & where to take advantage of it? What market conditions would make money for those orders?

So, the Federal Reserve?