| If epistemological state means anything at all it means (the possibility of) being able to hold a certain belief or acquire certain knowledge. It is as meaningful or as meaningless as using the phrase "ethical state" or the phrase "aesthetical state" and I stand by that claim. If EY had meant: human nature, with all its cognitive biases and imperfections of memory and perception and limited thinking speed and imagination and so forth, makes it very unlikely that you will ever really be in the situation of having to choose between definitely-for-certain killing one person and definitely-for-certain letting one die, with definitely-for-certain no other options. then maybe he should have spelled all that out, don't you think? I reassert that very little new was said in this article and what was said was wrapped in a ton of verbiage. He says (and I paraphrase) - take this hypothetical utilitarian dilemma, then imagine this being that is qualitatively different from you or me. I imagine the being would respond thus owing to its special ability but as I am not worthy of a micron of its circuity I would have to choose otherwise as I do not have this special-ness. And he goes on to say, this so happens to turn out to coincide with the old maxim "the end doesn't justify the means" but I'm not saying that this is an intrinsic law or anything and I certainly wouldn't constrain our robotic overlords to it, they may very well judge it right to sacrifice one person now to save many later and I'd go along with that. He might be saying: It is unlikely that you will ever be in such a situation and, empirically, situations at all like that are very rare. as you suggest but then again that does not seem to jibe with what he actually says: think the universe is sufficiently unkind that we can justly be forced to consider situations of this sort. and: But any human legal system does embody some answer to the question "How many innocent people can we put in jail to get the guilty ones?", even if the number isn't written down. What is AIUI by the way? And I know I say future perfect hypothetical self at times and perfected other being at times but it doesn't alter what I'm saying - you'll grant that a superintelligence could theoretically maybe possibly fold all the remaining meat-machines into itself (don't you?), at least that appears to be one claim of singularity-types. Oh, I also find most of the singularity arguments compelling just in case you think I'm against super AIs or anything. |
> If epistemological state means anything at all ...
It is clear (to me, anyway) that by "epistemological state" Yudkowsky means "state of beliefs and knowledge" rather than what you say is the only thing it can possibly mean. Why do you think the only thing it could mean is what you state?
(I think he should have said "epistemic" rather than "epistemological".)
> If EY had meant ... then maybe he should have spelled all that out
Maybe. But what he wrote was pretty long already, and "since I am running on corrupted hardware" (which is what EY did write) amounts to much the same thing. There's nothing a writer can do to guarantee that every single reader will understand correctly.
> I reassert that very little new was said in this article
So you do. But you're reading only a portion of it; you make claims about its overall purpose which are clearly contradicted by the article itself (hint 1: "to me this seems like a dodge"; hint 2: "I now move on to my main point", followed by a statement of that point which is not anything like "how can I best respond to trolley problems?" or "our robotic overlords will be vastly superior to ourselves"); you ignore large parts of it altogether. Why should anyone care whether, treating it thus, you find anything new in it?
> and what was said was wrapped in a ton of verbiage
Well, yes, Yudkowsky is not the most concise writer in the world. I think that may be partly because he's found that being terser gets him misinterpreted more often. From your consistently inaccurate paraphrases and summaries here, it seems to me that his main problem probably wasn't excess verbosity.
> that does not seem to jibe with what he actually says: ...
Situations where you're in the sort of epistemic position described in trolley problems are very rare. Situations where you can, and maybe should, harm some people to benefit others are not so rare.
I dare say there are ways in which a superintelligence could "fold all the remaining meat-machines into itself". It's not so clear that any of them would result in there being a superintelligence which is a "version of" any of those meat-machines.
I neither know nor care exactly what your attitude to super AIs is. I do think, for what it's worth, that pretty much everything you've said here on the subject has an unpleasantly sneering tone which you might want to lose if you don't want to give the impression of being "against super AIs or something".