[erikpukinskis]

This doesn’t make sense.

It’s like saying: I’m out on a hike, and I think I see a mountain lion. But most human-cat encounters are with housecats, so I can safely assume this is probably a housecat.

No. You need to look at specifics and find a classifier regime which is appropriate for the information available to you.

Absent all other information, the logical thing is not to say “I’m probably not doing anything worthwhile” the logical thing is to say “I don’t know how worthwhile this is”.